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overestimating our abilities","The fundamental attribution error makes us think actions reflect personal traits, ignoring situational factors","Edward Jones and Victor Harris's 1967 experiment showed people judge others' opinions based on assigned essay positions","Misjudging actions due to fundamental attribution error can lead to unfair stigma and poor decision-making",1,{"id":38,"data":39,"type":40,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":36},"f47c353c-3223-4157-9e1d-a96625bc22af",{"type":40,"intro":41},10,[42,43],"What's the fundamental attribution error?","Why did participants in the 1967 Jones and Harris experiment misjudge the essay writers' true opinions?",[45,60,77,92,105,110],{"id":46,"data":47,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":50,"reviews":51},"5036432b-9e86-41c8-a4cf-bafd668fed72",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":48,"audioMediaId":49},"Daily living entails an endless list of decisions we need to make, ranging from the mundane (what I want for lunch) to the life-changing (whether I should marry this man). Some decisions are straightforward, requiring only a simple yes or no; others pose a seemingly infinite set of options.\n\n![Graph](image://b9795c29-6cf7-44f7-8994-946c7aac3245 \"Yes no decision box. Image: KKPCW, CC BY-SA 4.0 \u003Chttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons\")\n\nWith the constant barrage of questions that need answering and decisions that need making, the human brain uses a number of techniques to expedite decision-making. We gravitate towards the safety of simplicity rather than the uncertain and complex. We are inclined to overestimate our abilities so that we are armed with the confidence to act. We zero in on what's in front of us instead of worrying too much about a distant, hypothetical future. And we finish the things we start, sometimes with a doggedness that defies rationality.","3a19a52a-2f94-4f21-a24d-b56aa4525487",4,[52],{"id":53,"data":54,"type":55,"version":25,"maxContentLevel":19},"bd72638b-f22b-4114-8de6-c80a78c891ce",{"type":55,"reviewType":36,"spacingBehaviour":36,"activeRecallQuestion":56,"activeRecallAnswers":58},11,[57],"Why are we inclined to overestimate our own abilities?",[59],"To give us the confidence to act",{"id":61,"data":62,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":25,"reviews":65},"90f36043-ba20-4f5a-acff-22477e3dd139",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":63,"audioMediaId":64},"Are high-performing students successful at school because they are smart? Without giving it too much thought, most people would agree that they are. As humans, we are prone to associate high performance with competence and vice versa. We look at others’ actions and assume that these reflect how they are as people, ignoring the contexts and circumstances that may have driven them. This cognitive bias is called the **fundamental attribution error**.\n\nIt’s why we automatically think that students who earn consistently good grades are intelligent. Maybe they are, but it could just as easily be because they work hard and have good study habits. Or they might come from a background of privilege or have a robust support system outside of school.","61246b30-070f-4ec4-9b9c-8e2afc877262",[66],{"id":67,"data":68,"type":55,"version":36,"maxContentLevel":19},"9dd770d8-ec1d-4450-bf36-785373e2b84a",{"type":55,"reviewType":19,"spacingBehaviour":36,"multiChoiceQuestion":69,"multiChoiceCorrect":71,"multiChoiceIncorrect":73,"multiChoiceMultiSelect":6,"multiChoiceRevealAnswerOption":6},[70],"What is the fundamental attribution error?",[72],"We are prone to attributing people's successes to their character",[74,75,76],"We are prone to attributing people's successes to cheating","We are prone to attributing people's successes to luck","We are prone to attributing people's failures to luck",{"id":78,"data":79,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":19,"reviews":82},"739643b2-9782-42ec-8215-e9d81f5fd44c",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":80,"audioMediaId":81},"Though reality is often complicated and driven by countless external factors, the human brain likes simplicity. And so, we tend to overemphasize people’s personal traits when assessing their actions, even if situational factors are more likely to blame – or thank – for what they do.\n\nA classic example of the fundamental attribution error is the 1967 experiment by Edward E. Jones and Victor Harris. This study asked individuals to write essays on Fidel Castro and assigned them to take either a positive or negative view.\n\n![Graph](image://7e3cdc86-62e1-4880-836f-541ec56aa3a7 \"Fidel Castro. Image: Public Domain via Wikimedia\")\n\nAnother set of participants then read these essays and rated how each writer felt about Castro. Writers assigned to take a positive stance were judged pro-Castro, while those who wrote against him were rated anti.","56cbb95a-d4de-4b6b-aeb2-506078376944",[83],{"id":84,"data":85,"type":55,"version":36,"maxContentLevel":19},"5632f10e-127e-4477-b254-f12e00018738",{"type":55,"reviewType":25,"spacingBehaviour":36,"binaryQuestion":86,"binaryCorrect":88,"binaryIncorrect":90},[87],"What was shown by the Castro experiment?",[89],"People view others' actions as a result of their fundamental beliefs rather than other factors",[91],"People are generally aware that someone's actions are not necessarily indicative of their beliefs or character",{"id":93,"data":94,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":25,"reviews":97},"adba31e1-c343-4223-9fd7-e8e8b0216608",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":95,"audioMediaId":96},"The same assessments persisted even after subjects found out that writers were merely assigned a position to take. They ignored the external factors influencing the essay and stuck with their assumption that each essay was consistent with and indicative of their corresponding author’s personal opinions on Castro.\n\nOne reason behind the fundamental attribution error could be unawareness of the situations driving others’ behavior. But even taking this out of the equation, reasoning out why people act the way they do requires cognitive load. It is easier to assume that people do things because it's just ‘the way they are.’","f9fdedfc-8b1b-4824-9978-96595a694f0f",[98],{"id":99,"data":100,"type":55,"version":36,"maxContentLevel":19},"015099ba-1dab-473f-beeb-64f2b0110cb0",{"type":55,"reviewType":50,"spacingBehaviour":36,"clozeQuestion":101,"clozeWords":103},[102],"One reason for the fundamental attribution error is that it reduces cognitive load",[104],"cognitive load",{"id":106,"data":107,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":50},"5b193a33-0b66-4f79-b408-f6c72f08f65b",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":108,"audioMediaId":109},"Failure to see past the lens of the fundamental attribution error can lead to incorrect and unfair judgments. People do not always engage in objectionable behavior just because they want to. Their actions may be a product of circumstance. If we do not afford others generosity in judgment, unfair assessments can turn into stigma.\n\nConsider individuals struggling with substance abuse. They get a bad rap for ‘not helping themselves.’ If they internalize that their addiction stems from an innate personality trait, what hope do they have of overcoming it? If we do not acknowledge the barriers to their progress, how can we address systemic issues and provide proper support?\n\n![Graph](image://c94c2dd6-5048-4d7f-bb38-240654659cc1 \"Man holding a a needle. Image: Attribution is to be given to Rehab Center Parus. When using on the Web, a link to https://rebcenter-moscow.ru is appreciated., CC BY-SA 4.0 \u003Chttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons\")","b4d31be3-8bdf-4eb2-afcd-e1614832e4ae",{"id":111,"data":112,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":19,"reviews":115},"c90ae912-8a5a-436c-813e-a3a926257367",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":113,"audioMediaId":114},"Conversely, associating good performance with competence without recognizing context can also be dangerous. Compare a mediocre salesperson who operated in a high-growth market versus a colleague who hustled tirelessly in a challenging environment.\n\nConflating the former’s sales performance with innate capability rewards the wrong employee if they are promoted over the latter. When the mediocre manager must navigate tough markets in the future, the company will suffer.","5bce1c7c-4205-4473-8d7f-6d5d034f3095",[116],{"id":117,"data":118,"type":55,"version":25,"maxContentLevel":19},"b7634855-9c19-4805-aa82-6ebd6393068c",{"type":55,"reviewType":19,"spacingBehaviour":36,"multiChoiceQuestion":119,"multiChoiceCorrect":121,"multiChoiceIncorrect":123,"multiChoiceMultiSelect":6,"multiChoiceRevealAnswerOption":6},[120],"Why can the fundamental attribution error be harmful for addicts?",[122],"Because it suggests that people's nature is set in stone",[124,125,126],"Because it causes people to underestimate the impact of drugs","Because it leads people to take riskier decisions","Because it leads people to attribute drug deaths to other factors",{"id":128,"data":129,"type":25,"version":50,"maxContentLevel":19,"summaryPage":131,"introPage":139,"pages":145},"2263b891-5291-42b8-86ad-8d17de2f942e",{"type":25,"title":130},"Hyperbolic Discounting and Its Effects",{"id":132,"data":133,"type":19,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":36},"fe6b77a2-d470-4e67-bdfe-5752341b3303",{"type":19,"summary":134},[135,136,137,138],"Hyperbolic discounting makes us choose immediate rewards over long-term benefits","West Virginia's dropout rates fell when driving permits were revoked for dropouts","Companies and governments often prioritize short-term gains over long-term sustainability","The sunk cost fallacy makes us stick with failing projects because of past investments",{"id":140,"data":141,"type":40,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":36},"9ce2f5fd-e036-44da-9599-37576881222c",{"type":40,"intro":142},[143,144],"What effect did revoking driving permits have on West Virginia's high school dropout rates?","How does the sunk cost fallacy influence financial decision-making?",[146,172,185,190,206],{"id":147,"data":148,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":19,"reviews":151},"5d295b1f-8fab-4b9c-bd7c-9865eb138137",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":149,"audioMediaId":150},"Humans love instant gratification, so much so that we opt for immediate rewards over long-term benefits, even when the latter is objectively preferable. Or at least, the concept of **hyperbolic discounting** says that we tend to do so.\n\nIsn’t that why, instead of investing this month’s extra cash into a retirement fund, we treat ourselves to a nice dinner? Why we choose to put off until tomorrow that chore we have been avoiding all week? Or why scientists clamoring for climate change action are constantly being ignored – because doing something now entails additional expense, even though leaving it until the next decade might be exponentially more costly, but at least that’s a problem for the future?\n\n![Graph](image://85ea49e5-2e7e-4bfb-9ec6-cf8e9e762a8a \"Scientist presents at a local climate summit. Image: \nMaryland GovPics, CC BY 2.0 \u003Chttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0>, via Wikimedia Commons\n  HTML\")\n\nFrom the lens of hyperbolic discounting, the future is a hazy, hypothetical concept where we magically get around to doing all the things we have been putting off. Meanwhile, the here and now deserves our full attention and enjoyment. Which is why, when we compare options, immediacy can play a deciding role when other variables are more or less comparable.","127e8366-0012-406d-921c-27dbb9124c53",[152],{"id":153,"data":154,"type":55,"version":36,"maxContentLevel":19},"7f891e41-9743-4a7b-9877-e9b91b080714",{"type":55,"reviewType":19,"spacingBehaviour":36,"collapsingSiblings":155,"multiChoiceQuestion":159,"multiChoiceCorrect":161,"multiChoiceIncorrect":163,"multiChoiceMultiSelect":6,"multiChoiceRevealAnswerOption":6,"matchPairsQuestion":167,"matchPairsPairs":169},[156,157,158],"5162742f-b387-424d-a268-63b75bdc5094","667bdc67-3bbb-41f0-9c75-b98093aa044b","a954dabb-7dcb-4590-a811-979c812b4ee9",[160],"Which of the following best describes hyperbolic discounting?",[162],"The tendency to choose smaller, immediate rewards over larger, later ones",[164,165,166],"Tendency to continue an endeavor once an investment in money, effort, or time has been made","Tendency to think an unpredictable event was easy to predict","Tendency to remember past experiences in a snapshot manner",[168],"Match the pairs below:",[170],{"left":171,"right":162,"direction":19},"Hyperbolic discounting",{"id":173,"data":174,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":25,"reviews":177},"69bfaec5-d2e1-4c84-9813-9c2db7c389b5",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":175,"audioMediaId":176},"What do driver’s licenses have to do with high school dropout rates? Apparently, according to George Loewenstein and Richard H. Thaler’s 1989 paper *Anomalies*, they make a good pair for demonstrating how hyperbolic discounting works – at least in the context of late 1980s West Virginia. When the state passed a law revoking driving permits of school dropouts under the age of 18, it saw dropout rates fall by a third. The economists surmised that such a staggering effect could only be caused by what they called ‘extremely myopic preferences.’\n\nOur ‘temporal myopia’ makes us focus on the here and now because the hypothetical future is uncertain. But when the consequences of our actions are immediate, as in the West Virginia example, we may reconsider our choices. Conversely, when it comes to receiving a reward, our risk aversion sees us wanting to secure a gain immediately, even if it means sacrificing a small portion of its size. Perceptually, the farther away a reward is to be received, the smaller in value it appears.","17e8b71e-90bb-4403-9b70-bf31f62406a6",[178],{"id":179,"data":180,"type":55,"version":36,"maxContentLevel":19},"e24f0c59-8e9a-4924-9354-520a7e6b0f3b",{"type":55,"reviewType":50,"spacingBehaviour":36,"clozeQuestion":181,"clozeWords":183},[182],"Temporal myopia makes us focus on the here and now because the hypothetical future is uncertain.",[184],"Temporal myopia",{"id":186,"data":187,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":25},"b24aa8b3-c33d-4d4f-adc4-1a66d621638f",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":188,"audioMediaId":189},"When we sacrifice too much of the long term in favor of the present, we fail to invest in long-term outcomes that benefit us – be it our financial security, physical health, or mental wellbeing in later years.\n\nWhen organizations prioritize short-term profit over anything else, their flawed decision-making jeopardizes their own long-term prospects and sustainability. We see this mindset in companies where middle management is constantly under pressure to outperform themselves month after month. Management focuses on looking good now, as there is no point in planting seeds for the future when one will have already moved on to greener pastures by the time their efforts bear fruit.\n\nThe same goes for governments of the day who care about getting re-elected. They focus on currying favor with their constituents instead of making sound long-term plans and programs that truly benefit the public. A government with such a myopic view ultimately does a disservice to its people.","9c2e9653-9170-4aa4-a575-d4b58cd57263",{"id":191,"data":192,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":19,"reviews":195},"ef5d0b99-6116-4892-a199-a3089b7c1798",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":193,"audioMediaId":194},"Advice columns often feature toxic friendships and relationships where one party knows that the dynamic isn’t working but they've just invested too much time and effort to walk away. *“I’ve known this person since I was a toddler. She’s my oldest friend,”* or, *“I can’t just give up on a 10-year relationship.”* This line of thinking is symptomatic of the **sunk cost fallacy**.\n\n![Graph](image://045b80c6-0b6b-46c6-90da-6b93d1a0fb57 \"Advice column from an old newspaper. Image: Jess, CC BY-SA 4.0 \u003Chttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons\")\n\nClose relationships are naturally difficult to break off – it pushes us out of our comfort zones. But the regret and guilt we feel over walking away from something we’ve invested time and effort on comes from cognitive bias. Instead of weighing up future costs against the benefits we anticipate by maintaining status quo, we fixate on the past – resources we have already expended and can no longer recoup whether we stay or leave.\n\nSo, the mental equation has to consider two variables – what it costs to stay and what we gain from staying. Regardless of how this equation works out, sunk cost is irretrievable and, therefore, irrelevant to the equation – a mere distraction, so to speak.","c39be6ab-e7aa-44c7-9f7f-3658e73f7852",[196],{"id":197,"data":198,"type":55,"version":36,"maxContentLevel":19},"f8df377e-099d-4c04-895c-825e19bcb2d2",{"type":55,"reviewType":19,"spacingBehaviour":36,"multiChoiceQuestion":199,"multiChoiceCorrect":201,"multiChoiceIncorrect":202,"multiChoiceMultiSelect":6,"multiChoiceRevealAnswerOption":6},[200],"Which cognitive bias may be at play when leaders in an organisation prioritise short term profit over anything else?",[171],[203,204,205],"Sunk cost fallacy","Fundamental attribution error","Loss aversion",{"id":207,"data":208,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":19,"reviews":211},"e2d899d7-bb5a-4782-b52e-474f8cdaf661",{"type":36,"contentRole":25,"markdownContent":209,"audioMediaId":210},"The sunk cost fallacy frequently plays out in financial decision-making. We embark on projects with optimism. Along the way, challenges sober us up. We may eventually realize that our undertaking will not deliver as expected. In such cases, a rational decision requires an objective assessment of the situation.\n\nUnfortunately, we are less rational than we think we are. This irrationality explains why some government projects persist even when sustaining them no longer makes sense. These programs waste taxpayers’ money – the resources could be diverted to more deserving projects. Likewise, companies sometimes throw more funds into failing business units in the misguided optimism that tides will turn and they will recoup their investment.\n\n**Loss aversion** is partly to blame for these scenarios – the notion that investments in a project are not 'lost' as long as it keeps running. We also see a narrative of failure, of giving up prematurely. All this highlights how tricky stay-or-leave decisions can be because we have to contend with feelings of pride, loss, and discomfort on top of the objective considerations required of us.\n\n![Graph](image://933761ff-ffb0-460c-bf99-fbc5f64b6321 \"Graph depicting loss aversion. Image: Laurenrosenberger, CC BY-SA 4.0 \u003Chttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons\")","f56a5bac-cb46-4003-a607-e1bb1e96e6b2",[212],{"id":156,"data":213,"type":55,"version":36,"maxContentLevel":19},{"type":55,"reviewType":19,"spacingBehaviour":36,"collapsingSiblings":214,"multiChoiceQuestion":215,"multiChoiceCorrect":217,"multiChoiceIncorrect":218,"multiChoiceMultiSelect":6,"multiChoiceRevealAnswerOption":6,"matchPairsQuestion":219,"matchPairsPairs":220},[153,157,158],[216],"Which of the following best describes the sunk cost fallacy?",[164],[162,165,166],[168],[221],{"left":203,"right":164,"direction":19},[223,372],{"id":23,"data":24,"type":25,"version":27,"maxContentLevel":19,"summaryPage":28,"introPage":37,"pages":224},[225,257,283,313,330,355],{"id":46,"data":47,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":50,"reviews":51,"parsed":226},{"data":227,"body":230,"toc":255},{"title":228,"description":229},"","Daily living entails an endless list of decisions we need to make, ranging from the mundane (what I want for lunch) to the life-changing (whether I should marry this man). Some decisions are straightforward, requiring only a simple yes or no; others pose a seemingly infinite set of options.",{"type":231,"children":232},"root",[233,240,250],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":236,"children":237},"element","p",{},[238],{"type":239,"value":229},"text",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":241,"children":242},{},[243],{"type":234,"tag":244,"props":245,"children":249},"img",{"alt":246,"src":247,"title":248},"Graph","image://b9795c29-6cf7-44f7-8994-946c7aac3245","Yes no decision box. Image: KKPCW, CC BY-SA 4.0 \u003Chttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons",[],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":251,"children":252},{},[253],{"type":239,"value":254},"With the constant barrage of questions that need answering and decisions that need making, the human brain uses a number of techniques to expedite decision-making. We gravitate towards the safety of simplicity rather than the uncertain and complex. We are inclined to overestimate our abilities so that we are armed with the confidence to act. We zero in on what's in front of us instead of worrying too much about a distant, hypothetical future. And we finish the things we start, sometimes with a doggedness that defies rationality.",{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":256},[],{"id":61,"data":62,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":25,"reviews":65,"parsed":258},{"data":259,"body":261,"toc":281},{"title":228,"description":260},"Are high-performing students successful at school because they are smart? Without giving it too much thought, most people would agree that they are. As humans, we are prone to associate high performance with competence and vice versa. We look at others’ actions and assume that these reflect how they are as people, ignoring the contexts and circumstances that may have driven them. This cognitive bias is called the fundamental attribution error.",{"type":231,"children":262},[263,276],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":264,"children":265},{},[266,268,274],{"type":239,"value":267},"Are high-performing students successful at school because they are smart? Without giving it too much thought, most people would agree that they are. As humans, we are prone to associate high performance with competence and vice versa. We look at others’ actions and assume that these reflect how they are as people, ignoring the contexts and circumstances that may have driven them. This cognitive bias is called the ",{"type":234,"tag":269,"props":270,"children":271},"strong",{},[272],{"type":239,"value":273},"fundamental attribution error",{"type":239,"value":275},".",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":277,"children":278},{},[279],{"type":239,"value":280},"It’s why we automatically think that students who earn consistently good grades are intelligent. Maybe they are, but it could just as easily be because they work hard and have good study habits. Or they might come from a background of privilege or have a robust support system outside of school.",{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":282},[],{"id":78,"data":79,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":19,"reviews":82,"parsed":284},{"data":285,"body":287,"toc":311},{"title":228,"description":286},"Though reality is often complicated and driven by countless external factors, the human brain likes simplicity. And so, we tend to overemphasize people’s personal traits when assessing their actions, even if situational factors are more likely to blame – or thank – for what they do.",{"type":231,"children":288},[289,293,298,306],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":290,"children":291},{},[292],{"type":239,"value":286},{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":294,"children":295},{},[296],{"type":239,"value":297},"A classic example of the fundamental attribution error is the 1967 experiment by Edward E. Jones and Victor Harris. This study asked individuals to write essays on Fidel Castro and assigned them to take either a positive or negative view.",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":299,"children":300},{},[301],{"type":234,"tag":244,"props":302,"children":305},{"alt":246,"src":303,"title":304},"image://7e3cdc86-62e1-4880-836f-541ec56aa3a7","Fidel Castro. Image: Public Domain via Wikimedia",[],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":307,"children":308},{},[309],{"type":239,"value":310},"Another set of participants then read these essays and rated how each writer felt about Castro. Writers assigned to take a positive stance were judged pro-Castro, while those who wrote against him were rated anti.",{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":312},[],{"id":93,"data":94,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":25,"reviews":97,"parsed":314},{"data":315,"body":317,"toc":328},{"title":228,"description":316},"The same assessments persisted even after subjects found out that writers were merely assigned a position to take. They ignored the external factors influencing the essay and stuck with their assumption that each essay was consistent with and indicative of their corresponding author’s personal opinions on Castro.",{"type":231,"children":318},[319,323],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":320,"children":321},{},[322],{"type":239,"value":316},{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":324,"children":325},{},[326],{"type":239,"value":327},"One reason behind the fundamental attribution error could be unawareness of the situations driving others’ behavior. But even taking this out of the equation, reasoning out why people act the way they do requires cognitive load. It is easier to assume that people do things because it's just ‘the way they are.’",{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":329},[],{"id":106,"data":107,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":50,"parsed":331},{"data":332,"body":334,"toc":353},{"title":228,"description":333},"Failure to see past the lens of the fundamental attribution error can lead to incorrect and unfair judgments. People do not always engage in objectionable behavior just because they want to. Their actions may be a product of circumstance. If we do not afford others generosity in judgment, unfair assessments can turn into stigma.",{"type":231,"children":335},[336,340,345],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":337,"children":338},{},[339],{"type":239,"value":333},{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":341,"children":342},{},[343],{"type":239,"value":344},"Consider individuals struggling with substance abuse. They get a bad rap for ‘not helping themselves.’ If they internalize that their addiction stems from an innate personality trait, what hope do they have of overcoming it? If we do not acknowledge the barriers to their progress, how can we address systemic issues and provide proper support?",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":346,"children":347},{},[348],{"type":234,"tag":244,"props":349,"children":352},{"alt":246,"src":350,"title":351},"image://c94c2dd6-5048-4d7f-bb38-240654659cc1","Man holding a a needle. Image: Attribution is to be given to Rehab Center Parus. When using on the Web, a link to https://rebcenter-moscow.ru is appreciated., CC BY-SA 4.0 \u003Chttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons",[],{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":354},[],{"id":111,"data":112,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":19,"reviews":115,"parsed":356},{"data":357,"body":359,"toc":370},{"title":228,"description":358},"Conversely, associating good performance with competence without recognizing context can also be dangerous. Compare a mediocre salesperson who operated in a high-growth market versus a colleague who hustled tirelessly in a challenging environment.",{"type":231,"children":360},[361,365],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":362,"children":363},{},[364],{"type":239,"value":358},{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":366,"children":367},{},[368],{"type":239,"value":369},"Conflating the former’s sales performance with innate capability rewards the wrong employee if they are promoted over the latter. When the mediocre manager must navigate tough markets in the future, the company will suffer.",{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":371},[],{"id":128,"data":129,"type":25,"version":50,"maxContentLevel":19,"summaryPage":131,"introPage":139,"pages":373},[374,412,438,460,511],{"id":147,"data":148,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":19,"reviews":151,"parsed":375},{"data":376,"body":378,"toc":410},{"title":228,"description":377},"Humans love instant gratification, so much so that we opt for immediate rewards over long-term benefits, even when the latter is objectively preferable. Or at least, the concept of hyperbolic discounting says that we tend to do so.",{"type":231,"children":379},[380,392,397,405],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":381,"children":382},{},[383,385,390],{"type":239,"value":384},"Humans love instant gratification, so much so that we opt for immediate rewards over long-term benefits, even when the latter is objectively preferable. Or at least, the concept of ",{"type":234,"tag":269,"props":386,"children":387},{},[388],{"type":239,"value":389},"hyperbolic discounting",{"type":239,"value":391}," says that we tend to do so.",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":393,"children":394},{},[395],{"type":239,"value":396},"Isn’t that why, instead of investing this month’s extra cash into a retirement fund, we treat ourselves to a nice dinner? Why we choose to put off until tomorrow that chore we have been avoiding all week? Or why scientists clamoring for climate change action are constantly being ignored – because doing something now entails additional expense, even though leaving it until the next decade might be exponentially more costly, but at least that’s a problem for the future?",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":398,"children":399},{},[400],{"type":234,"tag":244,"props":401,"children":404},{"alt":246,"src":402,"title":403},"image://85ea49e5-2e7e-4bfb-9ec6-cf8e9e762a8a","Scientist presents at a local climate summit. Image: \nMaryland GovPics, CC BY 2.0 \u003Chttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0>, via Wikimedia Commons\nHTML",[],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":406,"children":407},{},[408],{"type":239,"value":409},"From the lens of hyperbolic discounting, the future is a hazy, hypothetical concept where we magically get around to doing all the things we have been putting off. Meanwhile, the here and now deserves our full attention and enjoyment. Which is why, when we compare options, immediacy can play a deciding role when other variables are more or less comparable.",{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":411},[],{"id":173,"data":174,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":25,"reviews":177,"parsed":413},{"data":414,"body":416,"toc":436},{"title":228,"description":415},"What do driver’s licenses have to do with high school dropout rates? Apparently, according to George Loewenstein and Richard H. Thaler’s 1989 paper Anomalies, they make a good pair for demonstrating how hyperbolic discounting works – at least in the context of late 1980s West Virginia. When the state passed a law revoking driving permits of school dropouts under the age of 18, it saw dropout rates fall by a third. The economists surmised that such a staggering effect could only be caused by what they called ‘extremely myopic preferences.’",{"type":231,"children":417},[418,431],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":419,"children":420},{},[421,423,429],{"type":239,"value":422},"What do driver’s licenses have to do with high school dropout rates? Apparently, according to George Loewenstein and Richard H. Thaler’s 1989 paper ",{"type":234,"tag":424,"props":425,"children":426},"em",{},[427],{"type":239,"value":428},"Anomalies",{"type":239,"value":430},", they make a good pair for demonstrating how hyperbolic discounting works – at least in the context of late 1980s West Virginia. When the state passed a law revoking driving permits of school dropouts under the age of 18, it saw dropout rates fall by a third. The economists surmised that such a staggering effect could only be caused by what they called ‘extremely myopic preferences.’",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":432,"children":433},{},[434],{"type":239,"value":435},"Our ‘temporal myopia’ makes us focus on the here and now because the hypothetical future is uncertain. But when the consequences of our actions are immediate, as in the West Virginia example, we may reconsider our choices. Conversely, when it comes to receiving a reward, our risk aversion sees us wanting to secure a gain immediately, even if it means sacrificing a small portion of its size. Perceptually, the farther away a reward is to be received, the smaller in value it appears.",{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":437},[],{"id":186,"data":187,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":25,"parsed":439},{"data":440,"body":442,"toc":458},{"title":228,"description":441},"When we sacrifice too much of the long term in favor of the present, we fail to invest in long-term outcomes that benefit us – be it our financial security, physical health, or mental wellbeing in later years.",{"type":231,"children":443},[444,448,453],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":445,"children":446},{},[447],{"type":239,"value":441},{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":449,"children":450},{},[451],{"type":239,"value":452},"When organizations prioritize short-term profit over anything else, their flawed decision-making jeopardizes their own long-term prospects and sustainability. We see this mindset in companies where middle management is constantly under pressure to outperform themselves month after month. Management focuses on looking good now, as there is no point in planting seeds for the future when one will have already moved on to greener pastures by the time their efforts bear fruit.",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":454,"children":455},{},[456],{"type":239,"value":457},"The same goes for governments of the day who care about getting re-elected. They focus on currying favor with their constituents instead of making sound long-term plans and programs that truly benefit the public. A government with such a myopic view ultimately does a disservice to its people.",{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":459},[],{"id":191,"data":192,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":19,"reviews":195,"parsed":461},{"data":462,"body":464,"toc":509},{"title":228,"description":463},"Advice columns often feature toxic friendships and relationships where one party knows that the dynamic isn’t working but they've just invested too much time and effort to walk away. “I’ve known this person since I was a toddler. She’s my oldest friend,” or, “I can’t just give up on a 10-year relationship.” This line of thinking is symptomatic of the sunk cost fallacy.",{"type":231,"children":465},[466,491,499,504],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":467,"children":468},{},[469,471,476,478,483,485,490],{"type":239,"value":470},"Advice columns often feature toxic friendships and relationships where one party knows that the dynamic isn’t working but they've just invested too much time and effort to walk away. ",{"type":234,"tag":424,"props":472,"children":473},{},[474],{"type":239,"value":475},"“I’ve known this person since I was a toddler. She’s my oldest friend,”",{"type":239,"value":477}," or, ",{"type":234,"tag":424,"props":479,"children":480},{},[481],{"type":239,"value":482},"“I can’t just give up on a 10-year relationship.”",{"type":239,"value":484}," This line of thinking is symptomatic of the ",{"type":234,"tag":269,"props":486,"children":487},{},[488],{"type":239,"value":489},"sunk cost fallacy",{"type":239,"value":275},{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":492,"children":493},{},[494],{"type":234,"tag":244,"props":495,"children":498},{"alt":246,"src":496,"title":497},"image://045b80c6-0b6b-46c6-90da-6b93d1a0fb57","Advice column from an old newspaper. Image: Jess, CC BY-SA 4.0 \u003Chttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons",[],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":500,"children":501},{},[502],{"type":239,"value":503},"Close relationships are naturally difficult to break off – it pushes us out of our comfort zones. But the regret and guilt we feel over walking away from something we’ve invested time and effort on comes from cognitive bias. Instead of weighing up future costs against the benefits we anticipate by maintaining status quo, we fixate on the past – resources we have already expended and can no longer recoup whether we stay or leave.",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":505,"children":506},{},[507],{"type":239,"value":508},"So, the mental equation has to consider two variables – what it costs to stay and what we gain from staying. Regardless of how this equation works out, sunk cost is irretrievable and, therefore, irrelevant to the equation – a mere distraction, so to speak.",{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":510},[],{"id":207,"data":208,"type":36,"maxContentLevel":19,"version":19,"reviews":211,"parsed":512},{"data":513,"body":515,"toc":543},{"title":228,"description":514},"The sunk cost fallacy frequently plays out in financial decision-making. We embark on projects with optimism. Along the way, challenges sober us up. We may eventually realize that our undertaking will not deliver as expected. In such cases, a rational decision requires an objective assessment of the situation.",{"type":231,"children":516},[517,521,526,535],{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":518,"children":519},{},[520],{"type":239,"value":514},{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":522,"children":523},{},[524],{"type":239,"value":525},"Unfortunately, we are less rational than we think we are. This irrationality explains why some government projects persist even when sustaining them no longer makes sense. These programs waste taxpayers’ money – the resources could be diverted to more deserving projects. Likewise, companies sometimes throw more funds into failing business units in the misguided optimism that tides will turn and they will recoup their investment.",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":527,"children":528},{},[529,533],{"type":234,"tag":269,"props":530,"children":531},{},[532],{"type":239,"value":205},{"type":239,"value":534}," is partly to blame for these scenarios – the notion that investments in a project are not 'lost' as long as it keeps running. We also see a narrative of failure, of giving up prematurely. All this highlights how tricky stay-or-leave decisions can be because we have to contend with feelings of pride, loss, and discomfort on top of the objective considerations required of us.",{"type":234,"tag":235,"props":536,"children":537},{},[538],{"type":234,"tag":244,"props":539,"children":542},{"alt":246,"src":540,"title":541},"image://933761ff-ffb0-460c-bf99-fbc5f64b6321","Graph depicting loss aversion. Image: Laurenrosenberger, CC BY-SA 4.0 \u003Chttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0>, via Wikimedia Commons",[],{"title":228,"searchDepth":25,"depth":25,"links":544},[],{"left":4,"top":4,"width":546,"height":546,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":547},24,"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"2\" d=\"m9 18l6-6l-6-6\"/>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":546,"height":546,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":549},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"2\" d=\"M4 5h16M4 12h16M4 19h16\"/>",1778228286333]